Sunday, February 21, 2016

Aggregate Supply

-Level of Real GDP that firms will produce at each given Price Level (PL)

Long Run v. Short Run

Long Run:
  • Period of time where input prices are flexible and adjust to changes in the price level
  • Level of Real GDP supplied is independent of the price level
Short Run:
  • Period of time where input prices are sticky and do not adjust to price level change
  • Level of Real GDP is directly related to the price level
Long Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)

  • Marks level of full employment in economy (analogous to PPC)
  • Because input prices are flexible, changes in price level do not change firms' real profits and therefore do not change a firms' level of output. LRAS is vertical at full employment  

Changes in SRAS (Short Run)

  • Increase is to the right; Decrease is to the left 
per unit cost of production = total input cost 

                                          total output
Determinants:

1.) Input Prices
          -Domestic Resource Prices
               - wages (75% of business costs)
               - cost of capital
               - raw materials (commodity prices)
          -Foreign Resource Price
               - Strong $ = lower foreign resource price
               - Weak $ = higher foreign resource price
          - Market power 
               - increases in resource prices = SRAS shift to the left
               - decrease in resource prices = SRAS shift to the right

2.) Productivity
total output

total input

          - More productivity = lower unit prod. cost: SRAS shifts right
          - Less productivity = higher unit prod. cost: SRAS shifts left 

3.) Legal-Institutional Environment
          - Taxes and Subsidies
               - tax on business increase per unit prod. cost = SRAS shift left
               - subsidies to business reduce per unit prod. cost = SRAS shift right 
          - Government Regulation
               - gov't regulation creates cost of compliance = SRAS shift left 
               - deregulation reduces compliance cost = SRAS shift right

Aggregate Demand Curve


-Changes in the price level cause a move along the curve
Demand by consumers, businesses, government, and foreign countries.


AD Downward Sloping because-

Real Balance Effect: 
  • higher price levels reduce purchasing power 
  • this decreases the quantity of expenditures
  • lower price levels increase purchasing power and increase expenditures 
Interest Rate Effect:
  • when price level increases, lenders need to charge higher rates to get a REAL return on their loans
  • higher interest rates discourage consumer spending and business investment 
Foreign Trade Effect:
  • when US price level rises, foreign buyers purchase fewer US goods and Americans buy more foreign goods
  • exports fall and imports rise causing all real GDP demanded to fall
Shifters of Aggregate Demand:
  • 2 parts in a shift in AD
          - A change in C, Ig, G, and/or Xn 
          - A multiplier effect that produces a greater change than the original in the four                         components  
  • Increase = to the right 
  • Decrease = to the left 
Determinants of AD:
  • Consumption
          -Household Spending affected by:
                 - consumer wealth
                      - more income = more spending; Ad shifts right
                      - less income = less spending; AD shifts to the left
                 - consumer expectations
                     - positive expectations = more spending; AD shifts right
                     - negative expectations = less spending; AD shifts to the left
                 - household indebtedness
                     - less debt = more spending; AD shifts right
                     - more debt = less spending; AD shifts to the left
                 - taxes
                     - less taxes = more spending; AD shifts right
                     - more taxes = less spending; AD shifts to the left 
  • Gross Private Domestic Investment
          -Investment Spending sensitive to:
                 - Real Interest Rate
                    - lower rate = more investment; AD shifts right
                    - higher rate = less investment; AD shifts to the left
                 - Expected Returns
                    - higher returns = more investment; AD shifts right
                    - lower returns = less investment; AD shifts to the left
                     - Influenced by:
                        - future expectations of a profit
                        - technology
                        - degree of excess capacity
                        - business taxes
  • Government Spending
          - more spending = AD shifts right
          - less spending = AD shifts to the left 
  • Net Exports
          - Exchange Rates
                - stronger $ = more imports, less exports; AD shifts to the left
                - weaker $ = less imports, more exports; AD shifts right
   
          - Relative Income
                - strong foreign economy = more exports; AD shifts right 
                - weak foreign economy = less exports; AD shifts to the left 

Monday, February 8, 2016

Unemployment/Okun's Law/ Rule of 70

Unemployment:
-  It is the failure to use available resources, particularly labor, to produce desired goods & services
Underemployment:
-  Working less than 12 hours
Part-time:
-  Working 12-15 hours

People in the Labor Force:
-  Above 16 years of age
-  Able & willing to work

Not Included in Labor Force:
v  Military
v  Students
v   Retired
v   Disabled
v   Homemakers
v   Mental Institutions
v  Jail/Prison
v  Those Who Aren’t Looking for a Job

Unemployment Rate: 4 to 5%= Full Employment or Natural Rate of Unemployment (NRU)
How to Calculate Unemployment Rate:
               # of unemployed/(# of employed + # of unemployed)×100

Types of Unemployment
Frictional
Structural
Seasonal
Cyclical
-Those who are searching for a job
-Temporary unemployed or in between jobs
-Have transferable skills
- Ex. College//high school graduates, laid off from your job or you leave or job
-  Changes in the structure of the labor force that make some skills obsolete
- DO NOT have transferable skills
-  Has to learn new skills to get a job
-Due to the time of year and nature of the job
- Ex. School bus drivers, lifeguards, Santa Claus/Easter Bunny impersonators, construction workers
- As demand for goods and services falls, demand for labor falls & workers are laid off
v  Frictional + Structural Unemployment= NRU
v  full Employment means there is NO cyclical unemployment
GDP Gap: The amount by which actual falls short of potential GDP

Okun’s Law: For every 1% in which the actual unemployment rate exceeds the NRU a GDP gap of about 2% occurs

Rule of 70:  It is used to determine how many years it takes for a value to double given a particular annual growth rate.
70/interest rate= # of years

Friday, February 5, 2016

GDP The Basics Video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32dyopVAOJY

GDP/GNP

Firms: It is an organization that produces goods & services for sale

Household: A person or group of people that share their phone

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): It is the market value of all final goods & services produced within a nation in a given year

What isn't Included in GDP
  • Intermediate Goods- something that needs further processing
  • Used or Second-hand Goods- has been counted before
  • Purely Financial Transactions- stocks, bonds, etc.
  • Illegal Activities- drugs money, etc.
  • Unreported Business Activity- tips
  • Nonmarket Activities/Transactions- volunteering, babysitting
  • Transfer Payments- scholarships, welfare payments, social security

What is included in GDP
C- Personal Consumption Expenditures (65% Americans spend on)
Ig- Gross (Total) Private Domestic Investment (17%)
  • Factory Equipment Maintenance
  • New Factory Equipment
  • Construction of Housing
  • Unsold Inventory or Products built in a Year
G- Government Spending (20% of American economy)
Xn- Net Exports (2%) (Exports-Imports)

Gross National Product (GNP): Total market value of all final goods & services by citizens of that country on its land or foreign land

Two Ways to Calculate GDP
1.    Expenditure Approach
-       Add up all of the spending on final goods & services produced in a given year formula:
GDP= C+Ig+G+Xn
“expenditure”- to spend
2.    Income Approach
-       It adds up all the income that resulted from selling all final goods & services produced in a given year formula:
W +R +I+ P+ statistical adjustments
W- wages
R- rents
I-  interests
P- profits
Statistical Adjustments
1.            Indirect Business Taxes
2.            Depreciation AKA Consumption of Fixed Capital
3.            Net Foreign Factor Payment

Compensation of Employees: Wages & salaries, could also include pensions, insurance, health & welfare

Rents: Income received by property owners

Interest
-Money paid by private businesses to the suppliers of loans
Corporate Profits
-It is the income of the corporation’s stockholders Ex. Dividends & corporate income taxes
Proprietor’s Income
-income that comes from entrepreneurships & partners in a business
Formulas:
-Budget Surplus/Deficit = Gov. Purchases of Goods & Services + Gov. Transfer Payments – Gov. Tax & Free Collection
-Trade Surplus/Deficit = Exports – Imports
National Income =
1.    Compensation of Employees + Rents + Interests + Corporate Profits + Proprietor’s Income
2.    GDP – Income Business Taxes – Depreciation – Net Foreign Factor Payment
Disposable Personal Income = National Income – Personal Household Taxes + Gov. Transfer Payments
-Net Domestic Product (NDP)= GDP – Depreciation
Net National Product (NNP)= GDP + Net Foreign Factor Payment
Nominal GDP
Real GDP
o   (price × quantity)
o   The value of output produced in current year prices
o   Used to measure an increase in prices
o   Can increase from year to year if either price or quantity increases
o   (base yr. price × current yr. quantity)
o   The value of output produced in constant base year prices
o   ADJUSTED for inflation
o   Used to measure economic growth
o   Can increase from year to year only if output increases
GDP Deflator:
- It is a price index used to adjust from nominal to real GDP
Nominal GDP ×100                                    Nominal Interest Rate ×100
   Real GDP                                                   Real Interest Rate
- In base year, GDP Deflator ALWAYS equals 100
- For years after the base year, GDP deflator is greater than 100
- For years before the base year, GDP deflator is less than 100
Consumer Price Index (CPI):
- Most commonly used measurement of inflation
- It measures the cost of a market basket of goods of a typical urban American family
(cost of a market basket of goods & services in a given year) ×100
(cost of a market basket of goods in a base year)

Inflation Rate:
New Price Index – Old Price Index/Old Price Index

Nominal Interest Rate:
-  The percentage increase in money, the borrower must pay a lender for a loan
- It is NOT adjusted for inflation

Real Interest Rate (RIR):
- The percentage increase in purchasing power, the borrower must pay the lend for a loan
- It IS adjusted for inflation

Formulas:
RIR= Nominal Interest Rate – Inflation
Nominal Interest Rate= Expected Interest Rate + Inflation Premium       

Hurt by Inflation
§     Savers
§     Lenders/Creditors
§     People who are on a Fixed Income Ex. Elderly, welfare

Helped by Inflation
§  People who Owe Money Ex. Debtors

C.O.L.A.
o   Cost of living adjustments
o   It is where you get an automatic wage increase when inflation occurs